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After reaching a high of 3,386 on February 19th, the longest bull market in history officially made a record fall into bear market territory in the span of just 16 trading days and only a few days after its 11th anniversary. The S&P 500 has now been in a bear market, defined as a decline of 20% or more, for nearly a week. So when should we expect the market to hit bottom? And when will this decline end?
This newsletter uses historical data to provide guidance and explanation of bear markets and their subsequent recoveries, including a detailed look at S&P 500 performance, small-cap performance, volatility, and valuations. While no one knows the specifics of how the future will play out, the data we’ve compiled offers perspective on what the typical bear market correction is, how far we are from that level, worst case scenarios, and possible opportunities to buy equities at attractive prices.
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