David Hernandez, CFA
On June 23rd, the United Kingdom (UK) shocked markets with its vote to leave the European Union (EU). The Remain vote lost to the Leave vote, 48.1% to 51.9%, with a strong turnout throughout the UK. Younger voters sided with the Remain camp by a wide margin, while older voters supported the Leave camp (Exhibit 2). In the weeks leading up to the referendum, global equity/credit markets and the British pound experienced positive price movement in anticipation of a Remain verdict. Using polling information and odds makers as indicators, investors were caught off guard at the Brexit result, leading to dramatic losses for risk assets on June 24th.
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