06.01.2026
The New Face of Emerging Markets
The MSCI Emerging Markets Index has undergone a significant structural transformation in recent years. For much of the past decade,…
This week’s chart shows the relative economic size (measured as a percentage of U.S. GDP) of the top nine countries during each time period compared to the U.S. economy. Back in 1980, the economic giants of the world were Japan and developed Europe, with only two emerging nations near the top (China and Argentina). Moving ahead 30 years to 2010, China surpassed Japan as the second largest economy in the world, and a few more emerging nations (India and Brazil) are now considered two of the largest economies. Japan and the European nations lost relative economic size to the United States from 1980-2010, while Canada remains the same relative size. Projecting out to 2020, China jumps off the chart, with GDP equal to 99% of the U.S economic output. Japan and the developed European nations are estimated to lose more relative size to the United States while more emerging nations will be considered among the largest economies, most especially Russia and Korea. Clearly, the unprecedented growth in emerging economies is a trend expected to continue through the next decade.
The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.
06.01.2026
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