Growth in Direct Lending

September 22, 2016

This week’s chart shows the significant growth in direct lending over the last decade, as indicated by the number of funds and amount of capital raised.

Direct lending is defined as a loan made by a private entity to a small–medium size company which generally carries a floating interest rate. The loans have a 3- to 5-year term and are in most cases held to maturity. For some perspective, this space was largely dominated by commercial banks and proprietary trading desks at investment banks leading up to the global financial crisis of 2008 when private lenders had little market share. The landscape has changed since then as banks now face significant regulatory pressure as a result of the Basel III and Dodd-Frank bills, which call for higher risk-based capital charges for non-rated loans and an increase of 25% or more in Tier 1 capital ratios by 2018, making the practice of direct lending an increasingly inefficient use of bank balance sheet capital.

As a result, banks today are virtually inactive in this area and direct lending by private investment managers has emerged as a natural structural replacement. On the demand side, the current low global interest rate environment is fueling increased appetite for this strategy as investors continue to search for yield and diversification in their portfolios.

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Related Content

Line chart showing commercial & industrial loans as percent of total bank credit since 1980. Peak of line is September 1982 at 38%; since then there has been a steady decrease, with several peaks following global crises, with February 2026 datapoint at 21%. Basel I labeled at 1988, Basel II labeled at 2004, Basel III labeled at 2010. For full dataset, please contact marquettemarketing@marquetteassociates.com.

04.06.2026

Regulation Abdication?

The Basel capital framework was created to ensure that banks maintain sufficient capital to absorb losses and reduce the risk…

04.02.2026

1Q 2026 Market Insights Webinar

Please join Marquette’s research team for our 1Q 2026 Market Insights Webinar analyzing the first quarter across the economy and various…

04.01.2026

A Portfolio Needs Structure: An Overview of the Securitized Credit Asset Class

Fixed income is the largest global financial market and often one of the largest allocations within institutional investors’ portfolios. A…

Stacked column chart comparing contribution to total value creation broken out by revenue growth, margin expansion, and multiple expansion for private equity managers, by exit year, 2017 to 2024. 2017 column 45% revenue growth, 26% margin expansion, 29% multiple expansion. 2018 column 56% revenue growth, 4% margin expansion, 40% multiple expansion. 2019 column 43% revenue growth, 10% margin expansion, 47% multiple expansion. 2020 column 42% revenue growth, 19% margin expansion, 39% multiple expansion. 2021 column 46% revenue growth, 13% margin expansion, 42% multiple expansion. 2022 column 53% revenue growth, 20% margin expansion, 27% multiple expansion. 2023 column 64% revenue growth, 19% margin expansion, 17% multiple expansion. 2024 column 71% revenue growth, 12% margin expansion, 17% multiple expansion.

03.30.2026

Pulling the Right Value Creation Levers

In the period between 2009 and 2022, private equity managers thrived amid an environment of low interest rates and rising…

Line chart comparing Brent Crude Futures, WTI Futures, and European Gas Futures from December 2023 to present. Lefthand y-axis labeled Price per Barrel and ranges $0 to $120, corresponding to Brent Crude and WTI data series. Righthand y-axis labeled Price per megawatt Hour and ranges €0 to €70, corresponding to Euro-pean Gas Futures. All three series have spiked in recent weeks, with most recent data as of March 23, 2026 at 100.49 for Brent Crude, 88.72 for WTI, and 54.69 for European gas. Dashed line overlay at February 28 highlighting strikes on Iran.

03.23.2026

Pain at the Pump

Global energy costs have risen sharply this month due to a convergence of geopolitical shocks, as critical infrastructure and transport…

Column chart showing months from first to final close for North American Closed-End Real Estate Funds with average (~10.6 months) overlaid using dotted line. Up to 2020, funds generally stayed below 10 months; in the years since, it is well over, with 2025 at 25 months.

03.16.2026

Closing Time

This week’s chart illustrates a clear structural shift in the fundraising dynamics of North American closed-end real estate funds over…

More articles

Subscribe to Research Email Alerts

Research Email Alert Subscription

Research alerts keep you updated on our latest research publications. Simply enter your contact information, choose the research alerts you would like to receive and click Subscribe. Alerts will be sent as research is published.

We respect your privacy. We will never share or sell your information.

Thank You

We appreciate your interest in Marquette Associates.

If you have questions or need further information, please contact us directly and we will respond to your inquiry within 24 hours.

Contact Us >