High Yield, Bank Loans, and Non-Agency RMBS for 2014-2015

May 19, 2014

Given the ongoing low interest rate environment, fixed income investors continue their unprecedented quests for yield. With the persistent slow growth in the U.S., necessary monetary easing in Europe and Japan, and the sustained slowdown in China, U.S. rates that were previously expected to rise moderately in 2014 and 2015 are now projected to rise at a much slower pace, if not remain range-bound. As a result, we expect continued strong interest in the fixed income sectors that have offered the most appealing yields and returns over the last five years: high yield, bank loans, and non-agency residential mortgage backed securities. The following paper analyzes current valuation levels as well as future return prospects over the next few years.

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