11.30.2023
‘Tis the Season to Spend!
The holiday spending frenzy is well underway as some of the biggest shopping days of the year, including Black Friday…
Given the prolonged low rate environment in the aftermath of the credit crisis, investors have been on a continual search for yield. Historically, REITs and Master Limited Partnerships (“MLPs”) have been among the highest yielding asset classes, which led to strong performance in the years following the 2008 financial crisis. However, since the taper tantrum in May of 2013 MLPs and REITs have underperformed the S&P 500 by 1,136 and 648 bps, respectively.1 Currently, REITs2 and MLPs3 are yielding 3.8% and 6.0% compared to the S&P 500 yield of 1.9% as of May 2015.
This week’s chart looks at the historical relative yields of REITS (red lines) and MLPs (blue lines) compared to the S&P 500. The chart shows that if you owned MLPs or REITs since June 2006, on average, you were receiving 3x and 2x yield over the S&P 500 respectively. However, by early 2013 both MLPs and REITs looked expensive based on their yields relative to the S&P.4 Of course, given the underperformance of both MLPs and REITs over the last few years, the relative yields of both asset classes are again starting to look more attractive. REITs still seem a little expensive as yields remain relatively low (compared to history) but MLP yields (relative to the S&P) are now above their long-term average and look relatively attractive, and may present an opportunity for investors to boost portfolio returns.
1 As of May 29, 2015
2 REITs are represented by the FTSE NAREIT All Equity REITs Index
3 MLPs are represented by the Alerian MLP Index
4 Prices are inversely related to yields: if the yield is below the average it is more expensive
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