Ben Mohr, CFA
Director of Fixed Income
The 2020 presidential election is fast approaching on November 3rd and key election issues pertaining to the economy will be viewed with respect to a backdrop of crisis and uncertainty more than ever. Curbing the spread of COVID-19 is at odds with reopening the economy while racial injustice remains a focal point. A potential Biden presidency and Democrat-controlled Senate could result in tax increases aimed at stimulating the economy through public projects and providing a social safety net. In contrast, a second term with Trump would likely mean more of the status quo in terms of keeping the 2017 tax cuts, further trade negotiations with China, and his attempt to nullify Obama’s Affordable Care Act.
In this newsletter, we assess the platforms of both Biden and Trump with a focus on Biden’s proposed tax policies and a perspective on how they are expected to affect the economy and markets. We next examine the historical effect of politics on the markets such as equity performance based on which party controls the White House, Senate, and House of Representatives. Lastly, we take a look at 2020 election expectations based on recent polls and markets.
Continued strong performance of technology-oriented stocks through disparate economic environments, elevated valuations, and increasing concentration within the growth space have…
Inflation has remained well below 3% in the United States for nearly a decade despite a record economic expansion and…
While the recent approval and rollout of the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines would be expected to assist in the gradual…
With the COVID vaccine’s worldwide distribution and adoption starting last week, many investors are aiming to project an inflation outlook…
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