Value vs. Growth: Where Do We Go from Here?

June 09, 2021 | Evan Frazier, CFA, CAIA, Research Analyst, U.S. Equities

In a reversal of trends that had persisted for several years, value stocks have largely outperformed their growth-oriented peers since the fourth quarter of 2020. Though many factors have contributed to this change in investor sentiment, the resurgence of more cyclical areas of the market is likely being driven by the successful rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, which appears to have ended the pandemic in the United States and allowed the domestic economy to reopen to a significant extent. With equity markets likely pricing in a full economic reopening in the coming months, many investors are wondering if recent trends are sustainable, especially given the headwinds experienced by the value factor during the last decade. The aim of this newsletter is to assess the prospects of value stocks going forward in relation to those of their growth counterparts.

Read > Value Vs. Growth: Where Do We Go from Here?

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Evan Frazier, CFA, CAIA
Research Analyst, U.S. Equities

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Line chart showing the personal savings rate and personal consumption amongst Americans. Chart subtitle: Personal savings rates have retreated from pandemic-induced highs, however several potential headwinds still face the American consumer this holiday season Chart description: Y-axis ranges from -15% to +30%. X-axis shows quarters from 3Q16 to 3Q21. Line for Personal Savings Rate is purple and line for Personal Consumption (Quarter-Over-Quarter Change) is dark green. Both lines were relatively steady up to 2Q20 as the coronavirus pandemic took hold of the economy. The Personal Savings Rate peaked in that quarter to 26.0% and the Consumption Rate Change decreased to the extremein 2Q20 then peaked the following quarter with a 10% increase. Both levels have returned to just slightly higher than normal levels in recent quarters. Chart source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis as of September 30, 2021.

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