3Q 2026 Market Insights

This video is a recording of a live webinar held October 22 by Marquette’s research team analyzing the third quarter of 2026 across the economy and various asset classes as well as themes we’ll be monitoring through the remainder of the year.

Our quarterly Market Insights series examines the primary asset classes we cover for clients including the U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S. and non-U.S. equities, hedge funds, real assets, and private markets, with commentary by our research analysts and directors.

Featuring:
Greg Leonberger, FSA, EA, MAAA, FCA, Partner, Director of Research
Frank Valle, CFA, CAIA, Associate Director of Fixed Income
James Torgerson, Senior Research Analyst
Fred Huang, Research Analyst
Catherine Hillier, Senior Research Analyst
Evan Frazier, CFA, CAIA, Senior Research Analyst
Dennis Yu, Research Analyst
Hayley McCollum, Senior Research Analyst
Chloe Ariss, Associate Research Analyst

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Alternative Investments in 401(k) Plans Views Featured in Benefits Magazine

An article co-authored by Investment Consultant and Partner Kweku Obed, CFA, CAIA, Associate Director of Defined Contribution Matt Nowak, AIF®, and Paul Catenacci, a partner of Novara Law Group, was featured in the September/October 2026 edition of Benefits Magazine. The article, Alternative Investments – Coming to a 401(k) Plan Near You?, examines the proposed Department of Labor (DOL) rule that would allow retirement plans with participant-directed accounts to offer alternative investments and explains the practical considerations plan fiduciaries should weigh before adding alternative assets to a participant-directed plan.

Benefits Magazine, the bimonthly publication of the International Foundation of Employee Benefit Plans, covers benefit issues affecting multiemployer, single employer and public employee plan representatives.

Read > Alternative Investments – Coming to a 401(k) Plan Near You?

 

Reproduced with permission from Benefits Magazine, Volume 63, No. 5, September/October 2026, pages 18-24, published by the International Foundation of Employee Benefit Plans (www.ifebp.org), Brookfield, Wis. All rights reserved. Statements or opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views or position of the International Foundation, its officers, directors, or staff. No further transmission or electronic distribution of this material is permitted.

Matt Nowak Speaking at 2026 12th Annual GAPPT Trustee School 9/29

On Tuesday, September 29, Matt Nowak, AIF® will be speaking at the Georgia Association of Public Pension Trustees (GAPPT) Twelfth Annual Trustee School in Athens, Georgia.

Matt will be presenting an educational session for attendees entitled “Plan Governance and Fiduciary Responsibilities.”  The GAPPT is a nonprofit organization formed to provide education and professional development opportunities to trustees and administrators of Georgia’s public pension plans. Subject areas span fiduciary responsibility and liability, board governance, investment acumen, and plan administration. For more information, please visit the GAPPT website.

Commodities: An Overview of the Asset Class

Commodities represent a unique asset class within global financial markets. Like equities and bonds, commodity prices are influenced by the macroeconomic environment, geopolitical events, and technological developments. However, because commodities are tangible assets, their prices are also directly affected by physical supply-and-demand dynamics, weather patterns, and other factors unique to underlying resource markets. Recent structural trends, including rising demand for metals within the technology and renewable energy sectors, have created secular tailwinds for certain commodities that potentially complement the asset class’s traditionally cyclical characteristics. Additionally, evolving energy market dynamics may provide further structural support. Years of underinvestment in conventional energy production coupled with recent geopolitical conflicts and damage to critical infrastructure in the Middle East have increased concerns about the long-term resilience of global energy supply chains, potentially supporting elevated energy prices relative to historical norms. Simultaneously, global inflationary pressures and conflicts across the world have renewed interest in commodity allocations as a hedge against macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical strife. This paper examines the viability of commodities in institutional portfolios by exploring the dynamics of commodity cycles and demand drivers, analyzing the historical performance of the asset class, and outlining risk management considerations. By reviewing both opportunities and challenges, the paper aims to provide a balanced and educational assessment for institutional investors seeking to understand the role of commodities in modern portfolios.

The Fed Tackles Succession Planning

The leadership structure of the Federal Reserve is intentionally designed to promote continuity, independence, and institutional stability across political cycles. Specifically, the seven members of the central bank’s Board of Governors serve staggered 14-year terms, while the Chair is appointed to a renewable four-year term by the president and confirmed by the Senate. In this context, the nomination of Kevin Warsh by the Trump administration earlier this year to lead the Fed marks a potential inflection point for U.S. monetary policy leadership. Warsh brings a combination of public- and private-sector experience, having served as a Federal Reserve governor during the Global Financial Crisis, worked in mergers and acquisitions at Morgan Stanley, and later advised policymakers and investors as a fellow at the Hoover Institution and lecturer at Stanford. Warsh’s nomination, first announced in late January and now nearing final Senate confirmation, comes as Jerome Powell is set to end his term as Chair in the coming days, concluding a tenure defined by extraordinary economic shocks and aggressive policy responses. Recent developments have effectively cleared the path for this transition, with Warsh expected to assume the role shortly after Powell’s term expires, even as Powell has indicated he intends to remain on the Board of Governors through 2028 in a move aimed at preserving institutional continuity. Against this backdrop, Warsh is in position to take the helm of a Federal Reserve that has recently undergone a historic tightening cycle and is now navigating the late stages of the inflation fight, setting the stage for what is likely to be an evolution (rather than a reset) of policy direction.

Fiduciary Duties in Selecting Designated Investment Alternatives

On March 30, 2026, the Department of Labor (DOL) issued its proposed regulation: Fiduciary Duties in Selecting Designated Investment Alternatives. This comes after the executive order released by the Trump Administration last August which asked the DOL to clarify its position on alternative assets as well as provide guidance to plan sponsors on fiduciary processes for incorporating alternative investments into DC plans. Marquette’s first DC Perspectives paper on this topic can be found here.

The key takeaways from this newly proposed regulation for fiduciaries selecting designated investment alternatives (DIAs) in participant-directed defined contribution plans include:

  • Process matters most: Fiduciary decisions will continue to be evaluated based on a prudent and well‑documented process, focused solely on participants’ best interests.
  • Asset‑neutral framework: The DOL does not require or prohibit any particular asset class, including alternative investments.
  • Clear evaluation factors: To qualify for safe harbor protection, fiduciaries should evaluate DIAs across six areas — performance, fees, liquidity, valuation, benchmarking, and complexity.
  • No immediate changes required: The proposal does not require plans to add new investment options or alter current menus; changes occur only if a fiduciary chooses to act.

1Q 2026 Market Insights Webinar

This video is a recording of a live webinar held April 16 by Marquette’s research team analyzing the first quarter across the economy and various asset classes as well as themes we’ll be monitoring in the coming months.

Our quarterly Market Insights series examines the primary asset classes we cover for clients including the U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S. and non-U.S. equities, hedge funds, real assets, and private markets, with commentary by our research analysts and directors.

Featuring:
Greg Leonberger, FSA, EA, MAAA, FCA, Partner, Director of Research
James Torgerson, Senior Research Analyst
Fred Huang, Research Analyst
David Hernandez, CFA, Director of Traditional Manager Search
Evan Frazier, CFA, CAIA, Senior Research Analyst
Dennis Yu, Research Analyst
Hayley McCollum, Senior Research Analyst

Sign up for research alerts to be invited to future webinars and notified when we publish new videos.

If you have any questions, please send our team an email.

 

A Portfolio Needs Structure: An Overview of the Securitized Credit Asset Class

Fixed income is the largest global financial market and often one of the largest allocations within institutional investors’ portfolios. A typical fixed income allocation implements an investment grade anchor with a few “satellite” mandates — most commonly high yield bonds, leveraged loans, and emerging market debt — that carry more credit risk but provide higher levels of yield. Fixed income portfolios are often over-exposed to corporate borrowers through both anchor and satellite allocations. Additionally, these satellite allocations usually increase corporate credit risk while reducing equity diversification that fixed income is supposed to provide. Securitized credit provides higher yields and more compelling diversification benefits.

Securitized credit is a large asset class that has been largely ignored by institutional investors due to under-representation in fixed income indices, perceived complexities, and a stigma from its role in the Great Financial Crisis. While factors responsible for under-allocation to securitized credit have merits, these have caused investors to overlook the benefits of the asset class. Securitized credit provides a spread and yield premium relative to similarly rated corporate credit, diversified risk exposure to various credit and market cycles, and lower correlation to both traditional fixed income and equities. Overall, securitized credit’s attributes can help to further optimize portfolio structures.

Seventy-Five Horses and Two Pieces of Plastic

Anyone who has gone snowmobiling knows it can be simultaneously exhilarating and terrifying. Throttling across snow and through a forest powered by a 75-horsepower engine with two plastic skis to steer makes it hard to feel like one has complete control; 30 mph in the open air feels more like 100!

Nonetheless, operating a snowmobile is pretty straightforward: The throttle is a right-thumb button, the brake is a left-hand squeeze lever. Beyond those two controls, it’s up to the driver to effectively navigate the trail, with the critical concession that the terrain is out of anyone’s complete control. Which brings me to our 2026 market outlook.

The “throttles” for portfolios are the usual constituents: equities, below investment grade credit, and private markets. The “brakes” are investment grade fixed income, particularly Treasuries which can slow a portfolio’s losses if the market tumbles. The terrain is naturally the actual path that each of these asset classes will follow in 2026. Since 2022 the equity market ride has been mostly exhilarating, save for some of the terrifying moments like the market dip after Liberation Day. But that’s in the rearview mirror, and the focus is what is around the bend. Will the thrill continue, or should we ease up on the throttle?

3Q 2025 Market Insights

This video is a recording of a live webinar held October 22 by Marquette’s research team analyzing the third quarter across the economy and various asset classes as well as themes we’ll be monitoring through the rest of 2025.

Our quarterly Market Insights series examines the primary asset classes we cover for clients including the U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S. and non-U.S. equities, hedge funds, real assets, and private markets, with commentary by our research analysts and directors.

Featuring:
Greg Leonberger, FSA, EA, MAAA, FCA, Partner, Director of Research
Frank Valle, CFA, CAIA, Associate Director of Fixed Income
James Torgerson, Senior Research Analyst
Catherine Hillier, Senior Research Analyst
David Hernandez, CFA, Director of Traditional Manager Search
Evan Frazier, CFA, CAIA, Senior Research Analyst
Dennis Yu, Research Analyst
Amy Miller, Associate Director of Private Equity

Sign up for research alerts to be invited to future webinars and notified when we publish new videos.

If you have any questions, please send our team an email.