The Passive Performance Podium

Performance is a key attribute of any investment strategy with a values-based or sustainability focus. As such, analyzing the 2025 returns of traditional indices and those of their ESG-integrated equivalents seemed like a worthwhile endeavor, especially given the 25th Winter Olympic Games currently taking place in Italy. The purpose of this assessment was to evaluate how ESG-oriented indices performed against traditional indices in the U.S. Large Cap, Emerging Markets, and Developed International equity spaces to determine the “passive performance medalists” of 2025.

Before evaluating returns, it is important to outline how ESG-oriented indices are constructed, given that a degree of tracking error is always to be expected from these benchmarks. According to MSCI, each ESG index seeks a risk and return profile that is similar to the broad market index it is designed to track, while also targeting improved sustainability characteristics and avoiding controversies. Of course, nuances exist across different flavors of sustainability indices. For instance, the “ESG Leaders” approach differs slightly from that of “ESG Focused” indices in that it overweights higher scoring ESG names against sector peers and utilizes additional screens. Key examples include the following:

  • MSCI USA Extended ESG Leaders Index: Applies exclusions related to alcohol, Arctic oil and gas production, controversial weapons, nuclear power, palm oil, thermal coal, tobacco, fossil fuel extraction, and gambling.
  • MSCI Emerging Markets ESG Focus Index and MSCI EAFE Extended ESG Focus Index: Both apply exclusions related to civilian firearms, controversial weapons, tobacco, thermal coal, and oil sands.

The time has now come to award the medals. In the U.S. Large Cap space, the ESG Leaders approach landed atop the podium in 2025, as overweight positions in best-in-class Communication Services companies proved fruitful last year. Within Emerging Markets, the MSCI EM ESG Focus Index took home gold with the highest absolute outperformance thanks to positive stock selection effects in sectors including Information Technology, Health Care, and Energy (where being underweight also contributed to excess returns). Finally, a photo finish determined the gold/silver outcome for traditional indices in the EAFE space. The MSCI EAFE ESG Index trailed the two traditional benchmarks due to its weapons-related exclusions and lower exposure to companies in construction and mining spaces, which hampered relative returns given Europe’s increased focus on defense and infrastructure.

The fact that passive ESG indices fared well outside of the EAFE space in 2025 serves as a reminder that funds that track these benchmarks may make sense for the following types of market participants:

  • Mission-aligned investors who do not see their values fully reflected in certain segments of their portfolios
  • Purpose-driven or traditional investors who may consider passive vehicles as placeholders before identifying a viable active manager

It is important to note that understanding the nuances of different ESG-focused products is crucial, as many involve exclusions, additional risk management levers, and screens that will create absolute and relative performance variability. Still, if a lesson can be learned from 2025, it is that investors can enjoy strong performance from passive equity strategies while also tilting toward securities with more sustainable characteristics.

The Divided States of ESG

Trifecta status for a state exists when a single political party holds the governor’s seat and a majority in both chambers of the state legislature. In terms of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing, most Republican trifectas and states with divided governments have enacted legislation opposing ESG measures in recent years, while Democratic trifectas have passed bills in favor of ESG. Specifically, 36 states have passed a total of 127 bills either supporting or opposing ESG initiatives since 2020. At the time of their enactment:

  • 60% of the bills were in opposition to ESG and from a Republican trifecta state
  • 25% of the bills were in support of ESG and from a Democratic trifecta state
  • 12% of the bills were in opposition to ESG and from states with a divided government

While the darkest shades of blue and red in this week’s chart represent the states with the highest number of enacted ESG bills, it is interesting to note that the states represented by the lightest shade of blue (CT, NJ, NM, NY, WA) are Democratic trifecta states that have not passed any ESG bills to date. Readers should also note that ESG investing is federally regulated by the Department of Labor and the Securities and Exchange Commission, with strict disclosure requirements for investment managers to substantiate any ESG-related claims.

Future ESG legislation will likely vary on a state-by-state basis based on political leadership, making upcoming elections particularly relevant. Election outcomes in politically divided states that have yet to adopt any ESG bills will be especially noteworthy when it comes to gauging sentiment. Upcoming gubernatorial races with potential ESG implications include New Jersey and Virginia later this year, as well as Alaska, Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Vermont and Wisconsin in 2026.

It’s Getting Hot in Here

If global temperatures rise more than 1.5° Celsius the planet and its inhabitants could face severe consequences as a result of climate change. In 2022 — using temperatures from 1951–1980 as a baseline — the average global temperature rise was 1.4° Celsius, pushing the planet close to its tipping point. We are already experiencing more frequent and severe heatwaves, droughts, floods, and storms as well as rising sea levels and melting ice sheets. In fact, 2015–2022 were eight of the warmest years on record. The effects of rising temperatures are impacting people, ecosystems, and economies around the world and will only intensify in the coming decades unless we can bend the emissions curve and stabilize global temperatures.

To do so, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — a scientific body established by the United Nations and comprised of hundreds of climate scientists — has urged immediate, rapid, and large-scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. This would require systemic changes and large investments across all sectors of the economy, especially within energy, agriculture, transportation, heavy industry, and buildings.

For investors who are so inclined, there are a variety of methods to assist the cause, particularly for reducing portfolio-level climate risks as well as leveraging assets to foster society wide-decarbonization that aligns with a net zero future. Approaches can include engaging high-emitting companies to set science-based emissions reduction targets and create climate transition plans, increasing investments in “climate solutions” such as renewable energy infrastructure, assessing portfolios and assets for exposures to physical and transition-related climate risks, and subjecting a portfolio to climate-related stress tests and scenario analysis. Of course, all of these approaches involve trade-offs between risk, return, and impact; investors will ultimately have to decide the appropriate balance among these principles based upon overall portfolio and organizational goals.

Print PDF > It’s Getting Hot in Here

 

Source: See IMF data on annual surface temperature changes

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Livestream Videos: 2022 Investment Symposium

The presentations by our research team from Marquette’s 2022 Investment Symposium livestream on September 23rd are now available. Please feel free to reach out to any of the presenters should you have any questions.

View each talk in the player above — use the upper-right list icon to access a specific presentation.

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs. Past performance is not indicative of future results. For full disclosure information, please refer to the end of each presentation. Marquette is an independent investment adviser registered under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. More information about Marquette including our investment strategies, fees and objectives can be found in our ADV Part 2, which is available upon request.

Go Green or Go Home

Accelerating energy innovation is proving to be a key driver of decarbonizing the economy and mitigating climate change and may also expand the opportunity set for infrastructure-focused investors. President Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (“IRA”) into law on August 16th, 2022. The legislation is projected to raise $737 billion in revenue, require total investments of $437 billion, and reduce the deficit by more than $300 billion.¹ The IRA bill aims to help offset long-term inflationary pressure via targeted spending in clean-energy renewables and decarbonization initiatives over the next decade-plus. In addition, the bill will utilize tax credits and government subsidies to encourage household and commercial renewable energy purchases, clean-energy manufacturing, and decarbonization of domestic industries. As private equity and infrastructure investors digest the impact of the new legislation, we expect electric utilities and clean hydrogen production to be key beneficiaries of an increase in capital deployment. Infrastructure-focused strategies can provide exposure to these tailwinds while being ESG-friendly and more broadly helping to diversify a portfolio, provide a hedge against inflation, and generate attractive long-term risk-adjusted returns.

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¹ Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Investopedia

Sustainability Briefing – 3Q 2022

Sustainable investing is not new to Marquette. Ranging from mission-driven screening to minority-owned investment manager utilization, Marquette has been partnering with clients for over thirty years to implement investment strategies that address a myriad of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) themes. But something has shifted over the last few years, bringing ESG to the forefront of client discussions and manager presentation decks. To help clients navigate this evolving space, we will be sharing quarterly briefings that highlight trending topics surrounding sustainable investing.

In this edition:

  • Greenwashing and increased regulatory scrutiny by the SEC
  • ESG and sustainability-themed ETF flows
  • The SEC’s recent proposed rule, File No. S7-10-22: The Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for Investors
  • Business impact of increasing interest and attention to ESG themes:
    • Electric vehicle adoption
    • Unionization efforts
    • ESG disclosures by corporate issuers

Read > 3Q22 Sustainability Briefing

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

High on Lithium

Electric vehicle (EV) sales have seen significant growth over the past several years. Recently, elevated demand has contributed to a rampant increase in lithium prices, a primary input to the batteries that power EVs. As the global transition to a clean energy economy continues, the demand for lithium is expected to rise exponentially, to the point of creating a supply shortage in the coming years. While the metal itself is not in short supply, there are limitations to the extraction process and investment in the space has yet to catch up with the rise in demand.

In the last two years, lithium prices have soared more than 700% as sales of EVs have hit record-breaking numbers. Demand for lithium, according to McKinsey & Co., is expected to increase more than sixfold to 3.3 million metric tons in 2030 from 0.54 million metric tons in 2021. Supply is currently projected to reach 2.7 million metric tons by 2030, leaving 0.64 million in demand unaccounted for. The lithium mining industry today resembles an oligopoly, with only a handful of companies responsible for the majority of global supply. Going forward, this could change as further investment is made into the space, which could in turn help normalize price levels. While mining is often thought of as the polar opposite of sustainability, lithium mining actually helps further green energy initiatives, and lithium-related investments may serve ESG-focused investors well over time.

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The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Defined Contribution Plan Legislative Update – 2Q 2021

This legislative update covers the Secure Act 2.0, provides an update on the Department of Labor’s enforcement of its final rules on ESG investments and proxy voting by employee benefit plans, reviews best practices for investment committees coming out of the disruptions caused by COVID, and examines growth and integration of Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) as offerings in defined contribution plans.

Read > 2Q 2021 DC Legislative Update

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Sustainable Investing Among Equity Asset Classes

Sustainable investing continues to grow in both size and relevance among institutional investors and asset managers. As a matter of background, sustainable investing is a term that encompasses three broad approaches: ESG Integration, Socially Responsible Investing, and Impact Investing. As elaborated on in Marquette’s Sustainable Investing video series, the definitions of each of these terms are:

  • ESG Integration: Returns-focused investing that incorporates long-term sustainability factors (Environmental, Social, Governance) into the investment process.
  • Socially Responsible Investing (SRI): Investments driven first by ethical values.
  • Impact Investing: Investments with the specific intent to create and measure social and/or environmental impacts alongside financial returns.

While SRI and Impact Investing are more targeted strategies driven by underlying initiatives and/or beliefs, ESG integration has allowed portfolio management teams of more traditional approaches to consider social and environmental issues in a more tangible way than in the past. As ESG factors are more ingrained in the investment processes, there will be more investment options that contribute, directly or indirectly, to some of the ideals sought after in SRI and Impact portfolios. As shown in the above chart, investors have options across the global equity universe for both ESG integrated funds as well as dedicated SRI/Impact Investing funds. The proportions of each are likely to expand as sustainability investing trends accelerate globally.

Along with this growth comes an increased emphasis on measurable impact and standardized reporting, both of which have been a challenge in the sustainable investing space. We have started to see investment managers adopt the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDGs) as a framework for expressing the sustainable intent or reach of their portfolio. For instance, there is a growing contingent of investment managers that have mapped their portfolio holdings to one or more SDGs based on whether the firm’s product or service aided or harmed the stated end goal. We have also seen many investment managers become signatories of the UN Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI) over the last three years. The UN PRI are comprised of six foundational principles that work to support and encourage ESG investing. Another sustainable investing reporting metric that has become more readily available is carbon intensity measures. While there have been many positive developments in recent years, investors should be cognizant of potential greenwashing — disingenuous or misleading attempts to present strategies as more ESG-focused than they actually are.

Overall, sustainable investing is moving in the right direction as more allocators and investment managers realize that returns need not be sacrificed in pursuit of positive change. In fact, a fundamental concept of sustainable investing is that firms with better ESG practices tend to fare better over the long run due to a reduced likelihood of litigation, increased diversity, and capitalization on emerging sustainable technologies, among others. Marquette continues to monitor these developments and stands ready to assist clients in pursuing their sustainable investing goals.

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eVestment Universes
U.S. Large-Cap: “US Large Cap Equity” 1,129 Products
U.S. Mid-Cap: “US Mid Cap Equity” 289 Products
U.S. Small-Cap: “US Small Cap Equity” 640 Products
International Large-Cap: “EAFE Large Cap Equity” 219 Products & “ACWI ex-US Large Cap Equity” 142 Products
International Small Cap: “EAFE Small Cap Equity” 101 Products & “ACWI ex-US Small Cap Equity” 67 Products
Emerging Markets: “All Emerging Markets Equity” 654 Products

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Defined Contribution Plan Legislative Update – 4Q 2020

While legislators have been focused on negotiating the next round of stimulus and dealing with the implications of the recent election cycle, the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL), as the primary regulator of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA), has been fairly active with issuing proposed changes and final rules that may impact many of our defined contribution plan clients in the past several months.

This legislative update covers recent communications regarding private investments in defined contribution plans, proxy voting guidelines, ESG considerations (an update to an earlier Proposed Rule), and 2021 contribution limits.

Read > 4Q 2020 DC Legislative Update

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.