Will the Emerging Market Equity Rally Continue?

April 15, 2016

For this week’s chart, we look at the year-to-date return stream of emerging market equities, as measured by the MSCI Emerging Markets (“EM”) Index, which has been on a wild ride as oil prices fluctuated over the first three months of the year.

After reaching their 2016 low in the middle of January, emerging markets embarked on a sharp rally in the second half of February that continued through March and early April. On February 10th, due to concerns about the impact of a further rate hike on both domestic and foreign economies, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen signaled postponement on the March rate hikes. The postponed rate hike decision coupled with continued weakness of the dollar and stabilization of commodities led to the rally starting on February 12th.

Earlier this week, China released positive upbeat news, announcing its exports rose 11.5% compared to a year earlier and surpassing analyst expectations which led to a strong April start for emerging market equities. As volatile as this first quarter of 2016 was, we frequently remind clients of the importance of having a long-term approach to investing as we have seen the EM index swing from significantly negative in January to +6.7% year to date as of April 13th. Certainly, EM investments will demonstrate elevated volatility across market cycles, but it is critical to maintain a long-term focus on their performance as it relates to total portfolio returns.

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Related Content

05.23.2024

A Falling Tide Lowers All Boats

The resilience of the American consumer has been an unanticipated phenomenon in the four years since the outbreak of the…

05.14.2024

The “Fix” Is In!

The strength of the U.S. economy over the last several quarters has surprised many investors, as consensus expectations from the…

05.09.2024

The Emergence of Argentinian Equities

Argentina has faced myriad economic headwinds in recent time, including hyperinflation, currency-related difficulties, and a series of defaults on its…

05.02.2024

Is Bitcoin Fairly Valued?

Despite mixed performance to start 2024, bitcoin finished the first quarter up roughly 68%. Buoyed by a broad weakening of…

04.26.2024

1Q 2024 Market Insights Video

This video is a recording of a live webinar held April 25 by Marquette’s research team analyzing the…

04.25.2024

Mind the Gap

Any ride on the London Tube reminds riders to mind the gap: Beware the space between train car and platform…

More articles

Subscribe to Research Email Alerts

Research Email Alert Subscription

Research alerts keep you updated on our latest research publications. Simply enter your contact information, choose the research alerts you would like to receive and click Subscribe. Alerts will be sent as research is published.

We respect your privacy. We will never share or sell your information.

Thank You

We appreciate your interest in Marquette Associates.

If you have questions or need further information, please contact us directly and we will respond to your inquiry within 24 hours.

Contact Us >