Services Tags: Asset Allocation

2012 Market Preview

January 2012 Investment Perspectives

Reflecting back on 2011 does not elicit a lot of warm and fuzzy feelings.

News highlights include a downgrade to the U.S. credit rating, political gridlock in Washington D.C., ongoing sovereign debt issues in Europe, and a stubborn lack of economic growth. Predictably, these major news items took a toll on the capital markets, with U.S. equities mostly down for the year, and non-U.S. equities considerably worse off than their U.S. counterparts. Not surprisingly, the ongoing frustration (and dispersion) of equity markets pushed investors to the bond market, as rates – contrary to popular sentiment one year ago – fell yet again, thus making the year a profitable one for fixed income investors. Moving outside of the traditional capital markets, alternative asset classes had more of a mixed 2011: hedge funds again disappointed, while real estate and private equity continued their recoveries from the abyss known as 2008 – 2009.

But enough about 2011 – it is 2012 and investors are less concerned about what happened, and more interested in what the coming year holds for their portfolios. In the following articles, we will take a closer look at critical issues for each asset class in 2012. Each article contains insightful analysis and key themes to monitor over the coming year, themes which will underlie the actual performance of the asset classes covered. Articles are offered for the following asset classes: fixed income, U.S. equities, non-U.S. equities, hedge funds, real estate, private equity, and infrastructure. As a backdrop to the capital markets, we examine some crucial macroeconomic topics as they pertain to the U.S. economy.

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Intraday Volatility

This week’s chart depicts the intraday percentage change of the S&P 500 index over the trailing ten years. Several outlying events have been highlighted, however, we will focus on 2011.

This week’s chart depicts the intraday percentage change of the S&P 500 index over the trailing ten years. Several outlying events have been highlighted, however, we will focus on 2011. In the first six months of 2011 (125 trading days), the average intraday percentage change was 1.05%. From July 1, 2011, through December 5, 2011 (109 trading days), the average intraday percentage change was 2.33%. If you were to translate the intraday percentage change into points, the S&P 500 index has traveled 4,717 points to net a year to date return of 1.91%. Given the recent market volatility, it is important to not overreact to short-term market volatility and have your asset allocation guide your decision making process.

Infrastructure Position Paper

Examines the infrastructure asset class in great detail, from its early beginnings in the 1980s to its current day role in an institutional portfolio.

Infrastructure is a relatively new asset class to institutional investors and over the last five years has emerged as a sustainable addition to client portfolios. The following paper examines the asset class in great detail, from its early beginnings in the 1980s to its current day role in an institutional portfolio. In particular, the nuances of infrastructure, as well as its unique characteristics are discussed in an effort to cultivate a thorough understanding of the asset class. Recommendations as well as guidance towards making an allocation to the asset class are also included.

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Please see our 2018 Update to this Infrastructure position paper.

Analysis of Debt Ceiling Debate

July 2011 Investment Perspectives

As the August 2nd deadline for a resolution to the debt ceiling debate quickly approaches, many questions are emerging about the ramifications for investors in the U.S. truly does default on its debt obligations. Not surprisingly, opinions differ on what the bottom line impact will be for financial markets and investors. Unfortunately, the only consensus among market pundits is that there is no consensus. It should be noted that the current situation is extremely fluid, so portions of this newsletter may be out of date by the time it is read.

The following analysis tackles the biggest questions debated by analysts and market participants:

  • Will the U.S. Treasury default on its debt?
  • Will a major rating agency downgrade the U.S. credit rating?
  • What impact could a downgrade have on the U.S. fixed income market? U.S. equity? Non-U.S. equity?

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High Yield Position Paper

Clarifies the myths about the asset class, and sheds light on the benefits and risks of high yield bonds.

High yield bonds are a relatively new asset class in the institutional world and consequently not always understood. The following paper seeks to clarify the myths about the asset class, as well as shed light on the benefits and risks of high yield bonds. Critical topics such as return distribution, correlation to the credit cycle, and how to access the asset class are covered. Throughout the paper, a premium is placed on establishing a thorough explanation of the asset class and why high yield bonds should be included in institutional portfolios.

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Please see our 2017 High Yield Position Paper update.

Investment Stewardship 2011

Discusses today’s emotional market volatility and a focused approach to meeting the requirements of investment stewardship in 2011 and beyond.

In the wake of the 2008-2009 financial crisis, institutional investment stewards are faced with more complex fiduciary duties than ever.

Join us for a live webinar to address today’s emotional market volatility and discuss a focused approach to meeting the requirements of investment stewardship in 2011 and beyond.

This webinar will review the three key fiduciary responsibilities that lead to successful investment programs in good markets and bad:

  • Risk control – Stay off the greed-fear roller coaster with complete clarity on asset allocation and a conviction to rebalance as needed.
  • Quality control – Get to know your managers with thorough investment manager search due diligence steps to avoid fraud and poor products.
  • Cost control – Keep costs from eroding performance by actively negotiating so-called “industry standard” fees.

 

Live Webinar – Wednesday, May 25, 2011 – 1:00 PM CT
Investment Stewardship 2011
Fiduciary Duty in An Uncertain Decade

Presenters: Brett Christenson, CFP®, CFA and Greg Leonberger, FSA

Please contact us for access to this video.

Stress Testing Portfolios for Inflation

Examines different asset classes’ performance during times of high, rising, falling, unexpected, and expected inflation.

High inflation continues to be a worry for investors, most especially how it could lead to portfolio losses. The following paper examines different asset classes’ performance during times of high inflation, rising inflation, unexpected inflation, and expected inflation. Historical data is analyzed to identify investment themes that offer protection from both high and unexpected levels of price escalation.

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Short Duration vs. Core Bonds in a Rising Rate Environment

April 2011 Investment Perspectives

In today’s low rate environment, interest rate risk has emerged as a primary concern for market participants. Given that the Fed has held interest rates near zero for over two years, many investors are worried about the effect of an increase in rates on their portfolios. As interest rates rise, the discounted value of future cash flows to bond investors falls, causing a drop in the price of bond portfolios.

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Private Equity Position Paper

The first of a two part series, this paper provides an overview of the private equity asset class as well as recommendations and allocation guidance.

This paper is meant to provide an overview of the private equity asset class, an analysis of the qualitative and quantitative factors that should be used to assess private equity funds and determine their appropriate use in a portfolio, and lay-out and justify Marquette Associates’ position on the use of private equity funds in client portfolios. Recommendations as well as guidance towards making an allocation to the asset class are also included.

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Senior Secured Loans Position Paper

A comprehensive overview of the senior secured loans asset class, including history, return profile, risk analysis, valuation, and how to invest.

Senior secured loans have become increasingly attractive to institutional investors over time because of their floating rate coupon. Prior to 2008 they further appealed to investors because of their perceived low volatility. Though the volatility profile has evolved, senior secured loans are still an attractive asset class for many institutional investors. This paper offers a comprehensive view of the asset class, including history, return profile, risk analysis, and how to invest in senior secured loans.

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