It’s Always Darkest Before the Dawn

October 18, 2022 | Frank Valle, CFA, CAIA, Associate Director of Fixed Income

Diversification has been said to be the only free lunch in investments. Since the inception of the Lehman/Barclays/Bloomberg Aggregate index,¹ there have been only 18 of 187 quarters (9.6% frequency) with negative returns in both the bond and equity markets, as measured by the Aggregate and S&P 500 indices, respectively. Comparable results are seen in the monthly data: Of 561 months, only 83 times did both the fixed income and equity markets deliver a negative total return (15.2% frequency). Over the last 45+ years, there has never been a calendar year that recorded negative returns in both indices, though that looks likely to change this year.

This newsletter analyzes 2022’s equity and bond market performance and the importance of diversification and discipline amid such negative momentum.

Read > It’s Always Darkest Before the Dawn

¹Actual data goes back to 1986; backfilled data back to 1976

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Frank Valle, CFA, CAIA
Associate Director of Fixed Income

Get to Know Frank

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Related Content

09.22.2025

The Running of the Bulls

Barring a significant equity market drawdown in the coming weeks, the current bull market will turn three years old in…

09.15.2025

Oil Pressure?

Earlier this year, Marquette published a Chart of the Week that detailed the muted change in oil…

09.08.2025

Getting That Paper

Commercial paper is a type of unsecured debt instrument that can be utilized by companies to finance short-term liabilities. The…

08.26.2025

The Day Credit Spreads Died

July 31, 1997 is a date which will live in infamy. On this day, FedEx Express Flight 14 crashed at…

08.25.2025

The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Markets

Over the last several decades, artificial intelligence (“AI”) has evolved from a theoretical concept into a transformative force across a…

08.19.2025

Alternatives in Defined Contribution Plans

On August 7, 2025, President Trump signed an executive order to expand alternative investment access in defined contribution retirement plans…

More articles

Subscribe to Research Email Alerts

Research Email Alert Subscription

Research alerts keep you updated on our latest research publications. Simply enter your contact information, choose the research alerts you would like to receive and click Subscribe. Alerts will be sent as research is published.

We respect your privacy. We will never share or sell your information.

Thank You

We appreciate your interest in Marquette Associates.

If you have questions or need further information, please contact us directly and we will respond to your inquiry within 24 hours.

Contact Us >