James Wesner Speaking at ALTSMIA 2022 12/12

On Monday, December 12th, James R. Wesner, CFA will be speaking at ALTSMIA, an education-focused alternative investment event developed by CFA Society Miami, CFA Society of South Florida, CAIA Association, Miami Finance Forum, and Markets Group in Miami, Florida.

Jamie will be moderating a panel entitled, “What is the Outlook on the US Real Estate Market Now,” with several industry professionals. Diversification in a U.S. real estate portfolio has been difficult in the midst of extreme uncertainty in the last two years. This panel will discuss short-term opportunities as well as who will have to wait until later in the post-COVID world for improved prospects; how a core real estate manager can access and maximize fundraising interaction, and how ESG and sustainable investing have become more accessible within the asset class. 

ALTSMIA is specifically designed to provide relevant, education-focused content for individuals who manage, advise, allocate to, or oversee alternative investments. With leading allocating and management firms, the agenda will include topics such as global asset allocation, risk management, private markets, real assets, alternative beta strategies, private equity, hedge funds, ESG, crypto, and more. For more information, please visit the event webpage.

The Business Cycle Diaries

Even the casual observer of market dynamics is likely aware that the world economy appears to be on uneven footing. Elevated price levels, increasingly restrictive monetary policy, and geopolitical turmoil have plagued securities markets during the first half of the year and are now dampening expectations for global GDP growth going forward. Given this myriad of macroeconomic challenges, many investors are now assessing the possibility of a prolonged slowdown in economic activity for both the United States and the rest of the world.

The aim of this newsletter is to gauge the extent to which the global economy is at risk of such a downturn by examining the state of the current domestic business cycle, inferring its likely next stage, and reviewing which asset classes and investing styles tend to be the most attractive during each phase of the cycle.

Read > The Business Cycle Diaries

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Can Bond Investors Outsmart the Market?

While it is generally accepted that successfully and consistently timing the equity market is a loser’s bet, the same sentiment is not heard as often in the bond market. However, timing interest rates is just as difficult as equity markets and can lead to the same patterns of underperformance over multiple market cycles. Nonetheless, the recent rate volatility may be a temptation to shorten duration in anticipation of further rate rises. The following analysis examines why this strategy could be difficult to execute successfully, and why we recommend that clients stay the course and remain invested in line with their investment policies.

Read > Can Bond Investors Outsmart the Market?

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Defined Contribution Plan Legislative Update – 2Q 2022

This legislative update covers the SECURE Act 2.0, summarizes requirements in the SECURE Act for defined contribution plans to provide participants with lifetime income illustrations, addresses the Department of Labor’s recent guidance regarding cryptocurrencies in retirement plans, and reviews plan features and enhancements employers are considering to improve employee retention amidst the “Great Resignation.”

Read > 2Q 2022 DC Legislative Update

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Flirting With a Bear Market: How Did We Get Here, and What Comes Next?

Quite simply, this has been the worst start to a year since the 1930s:

  • One of only 19 quarters since 1976 when both bonds and stocks posted negative returns;
  • One of only six of those quarters when bonds have underperformed stocks;
  • The worst four-month return for the S&P 500 since 1939.

2022 to date has featured a myriad of macroeconomic factors coming to a head: inflation at its highest level since the 1980s, the Federal Reserve responding with aggressive rate hikes, and increasing concerns about the health of the consumer leading to a possible recession. An evolving pandemic, a war in Eastern Europe, and draconian lockdown policies in the world’s second-largest economy and largest manufacturing hub have further added to the problem and complicated the solution. With these macro headwinds and uncertainties driving markets year-to-date, Marquette’s fixed income, U.S. equities, and non-U.S. equities teams discuss the impacts on their asset classes and weigh in on the outlook from here.

Read > Flirting With a Bear Market: How Did We Get Here and What Comes Next?

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Luis Sierra Speaking at Georgetown University Center for Retirement Initiatives 2022 Annual Policy Innovation Forum 10/3

On Monday, October 3rd,  Luis Sierra, CFA will be speaking at Georgetown University’s Center for Retirement Initiatives Annual Policy Innovation Forum in Washington D.C.

Luis will be joining a panel entitled, “How Resilient Are Investing Strategies and Products to Changing Economic Conditions, Market Volatility, and Rising Global Political Instability?” with several industry professionals.

The Annual Policy Innovation Forum brings together policymakers and experts for in-depth conversations related to investment strategies for defined contribution (DC) retirement plans. Topics to be explored include the impact of recent market volatility, asset diversification strategies, the evolution of ESG investing, the inclusion of alternative asset classes, the role of technology, assessing asset risks, investment management, and much more. For more information, please visit the event webpage.

Observations on Fidelity’s Bitcoin–401(k) Announcement

On April 26th, 2022, Fidelity Investments announced plans to offer bitcoin for 401(k) plans. For Fidelity, this plan is a natural next step. As shown in Exhibit 1, Fidelity began exploring digital assets in 2014. Soon after, bitcoin-centric custody solutions began to emerge, followed by a private fund and spot-based ETF. While Fidelity’s embrace of bitcoin could be seen simply as bandwagon hopping, the trend below suggests that bitcoin may be part of a broader long-term digital asset strategy.

In this edition of DC Perspectives, we cover the implications of Fidelity’s announcement for bitcoin and digital assets broadly, for the investment industry, and for defined contribution plan sponsors.

Read > Observations on Fidelity’s Bitcoin-401(k) Announcement

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Q1 2022 Market Insights Video

This video features an in-depth analysis of the first quarter’s performance by Marquette’s research team, reviewing general themes from the quarter and risks and opportunities to monitor in the coming months.

 Our Market Insights series examines the primary asset classes we cover for clients including the U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S. and non-U.S. equities, hedge funds, real estate, infrastructure, private equity, and private credit, with presentations by our research analysts and directors.

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For more information, questions, or feedback, please send us an email.

Low Volatility: Factor or Fad?

The beginning of 2022 represented a change of pace for equity investors, as increased geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty drove the S&P 500 to its first negative quarter in two years. In light of recent performance trends and the potential for continued asset price fluctuation, market participants may be interested in assessing the viability of strategies with lower risk profiles that still offer the potential for long-term gains similar to those of the S&P 500. One such strategy is low volatility equity investing. Though it has fallen somewhat out of favor in recent years, low volatility is a generally accepted risk premia factor (akin to value, size, quality, etc.), meaning investors can theoretically expect to earn excess returns by allocating to lower volatility equities over the long run. This newsletter seeks to understand the rationale and evidence for this premium, explain recent performance of low volatility stocks, and examine the prospects of the style going forward.

Read > Low Volatility: Factor or Fad?

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Life During Wartime: Assessing the Market Impact of the Russia/Ukraine Conflict

Recent days have seen an escalation of political tensions in Eastern Europe, and on February 24th, Russian forces began conducting large-scale military operations in Ukraine. These actions have drawn widespread condemnation from the international community, with NATO repositioning troops along its eastern flank and both the United States and European Union announcing intentions to impose sanctions on a variety of Russian financial institutions. The conflict has also threatened the stability of global markets, particularly those areas of the world economy that are most sensitive to energy and the performance of emerging market countries. The aim of this newsletter is to assess the ramifications of Russian actions vis-à-vis the broad market and determine the potential implications of further escalation of the conflict going forward, including:

  • Equity index performance
  • Index exposure to Russia and Ukraine
  • Commodity market expectations
  • Central bank policy and inflation impacts
  • Historical impact of similar exogenous shocks on equities

Read > Life During Wartime: Assessing the Market Impact of the Russia/Ukraine Conflict

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.