The Greek Debt Drama and Guidance for Investors

July 2015 Investment Perspectives

With a history rich in theatre, Greece’s starring role in the “Grexit” drama has featured several rounds of inconclusive negotiations, the resignation of a finance minister, the closing of Greek banks, and a missed payment to the IMF. Finally, on July 13, Greece and its creditors reached an agreement on a third rescue package that likely ensures that Greece remains in the Eurozone. Key pension and tax reforms constitute some of the key austerity measures while Greek officials promised to set up a privatized fund by selling $50 billion in state owned assets. The funds will be devoted to the recapitalization of banks as well as debt servicing.

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Do Liquid Alternatives Deserve the Hype?

Liquid alternative assets, as defined by Morningstar, have continued to grow since 2009 and by the end of 2014, reached nearly $158 billion, up 11% from the previous year. The top 2014 fund flows within Morningstar’s liquid alternative category were concentrated across multi-alternatives (+$9.8B), long/short equity (+$6.5B), and managed futures strategies (+$2.3B).

Liquid alternative1 assets, as defined by Morningstar, have continued to grow since 2009 and by the end of 2014, reached nearly $158 billion, up 11% from the previous year. The top 2014 fund flows within Morningstar’s liquid alternative category were concentrated across multi-alternatives (+$9.8B), long/short equity (+$6.5B), and managed futures strategies (+$2.3B). Additionally, multi-alternative flows have already totaled $1 billion in the first month of 2015, continuing to lead all other categories.

Before jumping on the bandwagon, it is important to take a step back and analyze how some of the liquid alternative strategies have performed compared to their private counterparts. Although not an exact apples-to-apples comparison, this week’s chart of the week compares the growth of $1 since January 2000 of the HFR equity hedge index (private) vs. the Morningstar long/short category (liquid). Interestingly, while the liquid long/short equity strategies outperformed private HFR equity hedge from early 2001 through mid-2003, private funds have beaten their liquid counterparts by a significant margin over the long run. Although liquid alternatives offer an attractive liquidity profile, they come with all the restrictions of a 40 Act mutual fund which limit illiquid holdings and leverage. When it comes to investing in alternative strategies, this is one reason we believe that private vehicles are most appropriate for institutional investors.

1Liquid alternatives encompass non-traditional investment strategies or asset classes (beyond equities and bonds) such as REITs, MLPs, commodities, currencies, distressed debt, or hedge fund strategies in a mutual fund format.

2015 Market Preview

January 2015

Similar to previous years, we offer our annual market preview newsletter. Each year presents new challenges to our clients, and 2015 is no different: U.S. equities are at all-time highs, uncertainty reigns for international equities, and to everyone’s surprise, interest rates fell dramatically in 2014…but are poised to rise from historic lows over the next year. In the alternative space, real estate remains a solid contributor to portfolio returns, and private equity delivered on return expectations, though dry powder is on the rise. Hedge fund results were mixed, but have shown to add value in past rising interest rate environments. Further macroeconomic items that bear watching for their potential impact on capital markets include the precipitous fall in oil prices, the strengthening U.S. dollar, job growth, and international conflicts.

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2015 Market Preview Briefing

A briefing on our 2015 Market Preview report, covering the overall U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S./non-U.S. equity, hedge funds, private equity, real estate and infrastructure.

Live Webinar – Thursday, January 15, 2015 – 1:00-1:45 PM CT

Please join Marquette’s asset class analysts for a live webinar briefing on 2015 capital market expectations. Potential market drivers and general outlooks will be discussed for the overall U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S./non-U.S. equity, hedge funds, private equity, real estate and infrastructure.

Live webinar attendees will be able to submit questions to the presenters and vote in audience polls during the event. Questions will be answered during the final 15 minutes of the webinar, as time allows.

If you are unable to attend the webinar live, you can also view it afterward on demand. Registrants will automatically receive a follow-up email shortly after the end of the webinar to notify them of webinar recording availability.

Please contact us for access to this video.

Portfolio Strategies for a Rising Interest Rate Environment

2014 Marquette Investment Symposium session

In this presentation from our 2014 Investment Symposium, we explore current interest rate levels, our perspective as consultants, and strategic solutions for mitigating the effects of rising rates on portfolios.


Recorded Friday, September 12, 2014
2014 Marquette Investment Symposium

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Emerging Markets: The Case for Sub-Asset Class Diversification

March 2014 Investment Perspectives

The purpose of this newsletter is not to debate whether one index provider’s methodology is superior to another index provider’s; there are several papers in the market place that expertly do this in great depth. Rather, we wish to highlight that given the broad choice of core equity EM mandates that are available in the marketplace, investors should look to be on the same definitional page as their chosen or desired asset manager(s) as to what constitutes “emerging market” exposure.

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Emerging Market Debt

This paper explores EMD as an asset class, focusing on the benefits and risks. Further, EMD characteristics and their impact on portfolio dynamics are discussed. Recommendations as well as guidance toward making an allocation to the asset class are included.

Due to risks, uncertainty, and overall lack of credit quality, institutional investors have not historically included emerging market debt (“EMD”) in their portfolios. However, the investment landscaped has changed over the past few years. Driven by low interest rates and deteriorating fundamentals in the United States and other developed countries, investors’ interest in EMD has skyrocketed in recent years.

This paper explores EMD as an asset class, focusing on the benefits and risks. Further, EMD characteristics and their impact on portfolio dynamics are discussed. Recommendations, as well as guidance toward making an allocation to the asset class, are included.

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Emerging Markets: A Crisis of Confidence

February 2014 Investment Perspectives

After a disappointing 2013 and a significant sell-off to begin 2014, many investors are questioning their ongoing allocations to emerging markets (“EM”). Since 2013, EM countries have consistently underperformed their developed market counterparts, with equities losing 8.8% and local currency debt declining 12.5%. This compares to the S&P 500 and the EAFE which have returned 27.2% and 20.1%, respectively, over the same time period.

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2014 Market Preview

January 2014

Similar to previous years, we present our annual market preview newsletter. Each year presents new challenges to our clients, and 2014 is no different: We are coming off a banner year for U.S. equities, low interest rates continue to stymie fixed income investors, and while developed market equities enjoyed a strong 2013, emerging market stocks sputtered. In the alternative space, real estate and hedge funds proved accretive to portfolio returns, while growing dry powder in the private equity space is starting to raise a few eyebrows.

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3Q 2013 Market Briefing

A briefing on our 3Q 2013 Market Environment report, covering the overall U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S./non-U.S. equity, hedge funds, private equity, real estate and infrastructure.

Live Webinar – Friday, October 25, 2013 – 1:00-1:45 PM CT

Please join Marquette’s asset class analysts for a live webinar briefing on our 3Q 2013 Market Environment report. This webinar series is designed to brief clients on the market as soon as possible after quarterly market data becomes available.

The overall U.S. economy will be discussed, along with fixed income, U.S./non-U.S. equity, hedge funds, private equity, real estate and infrastructure.

Live webinar attendees will be able to submit questions to the presenters and vote in audience polls during the event. Questions will be answered as time allows during the Q&A session towards the end of the webinar.

If you are unable to attend the webinar live, you can also view it afterward on demand. Registrants will automatically receive a follow-up email shortly after the end of the webinar to notify them of webinar recording availability.

Please contact us for access to this video.