Services Tags: Defined Contribution

Are You Ready for Some Fixed Income?

As the leaves change to autumn and the authors cheer on their Fighting Leathernecks, fall is the perfect time for investors to reassess their fixed income portfolios. Fixed income is a hybrid security that offers both offensive and defensive properties. Much like a good football team, a fixed income portfolio needs to combine a strong offense with a solid defense.

Some strategies provide more offensive characteristics while others are more defensive. Portfolios with too much offense act like the Greatest Show on Turf. They do well when the economy is strong, but falter in down markets. Conversely, a fixed income portfolio that is overly reliant on defensive strategies will do well in a risk-off environment but will struggle in a strong economy like the Super Bowl Shufflin’ ’85 Bears.

While those were great teams, they were not a dynasty that stood up to the test of time. To build an all-weather fixed income portfolio that will perform in multiple market environments, an investor needs to balance offense and defense.
Fixed income has three primary objectives: income, diversification, and liquidity. Income, or yield, is what an investor is paid for loaning money to another entity. Fixed income helps to diversify portfolios primarily through duration. When risk assets are selling off, interest rates are generally falling. Duration is what drives fixed income prices higher in such scenarios. Finally, fixed income assets can be a source of liquidity. The weight of these qualities is dependent on if the strategy is more offensive- or defensive-minded.

This white paper outlines offensive and defensive fixed income characteristics and strategies and considerations for investors when building a “gameplan” for their fixed income allocation.

Matt Nowak Speaking at Georgetown University Center for Retirement Initiatives 2025 State-Facilitated Retirement Savings Program Network Conference 1/29

On Wednesday, January 29, Matt Nowak, AIF® will be speaking at the Georgetown University Center for Retirement Initiatives (CRI) 2025 State-Facilitated Retirement Savings Program Network (SRSPN) Conference in Nashville, Tennessee.

Matt will be joining a panel entitled, “The Leaky Bucket Challenge: What More Can be Done to Increase Employee Participation and Boost Savings?” ” with several investment professionals.

The SRSPN brings together state executives, legislators, and other key stakeholders to share the latest updates on legislative and program implementation best practices and lessons learned. For more information, please visit the CRI website.

What Does Elevated Index Concentration Mean for Active U.S. Equity Managers?

Indexing has risen in popularity over the last decade, particularly for U.S. equity investors. The fees are lower and indexing is perceived as less risky, with investors primarily seeking beta exposure to the market. However, these indices have evolved against an ever-changing economic and financial market backdrop. As a result, several unintended structural issues have emerged, particularly related to concentration risk. Understanding this evolution and how it could alter the overall exposures within a broader portfolio is critical, as these indices are not static. Notably, the composition of some indices alongside the increase in passive capital has created headwinds for active managers and helps to explain recent performance challenges.

This newsletter examines the progression of passive management, how and why U.S. equity index concentration has increased in recent years, and the effects and risks investors need be aware of across the market capitalization spectrum.

Mind the Gap

Any ride on the London Tube reminds riders to mind the gap: Beware the space between train car and platform as you board and depart the train. A recent trip to London brought this phrase back to me and it seemed like a perfect description of how to look at financial markets this year, with the “gap” serving as the difference between expectations and reality, most particularly in terms of interest rate cuts.

In our market preview, we identified the Fed pivot as a primary driver of financial markets this year, most especially how expectations of cuts would line up with actual Fed policy. Going into the year, the market had priced in at least five cuts, which helped fuel a furious fourth quarter rally and investor optimism for 2024. One quarter in, however, those expectations have been turned on their head. Hotter than expected inflation and jobs reports in March have created a “higher for longer” narrative with the market expecting no more than two cuts during the second half of the year. Some economists have taken an even more bearish stance, suggesting there will not be any cuts. Overall, rates rose across the curve during the quarter as current U.S. debt levels sustained the long end of the curve while the short end was relatively unmoved.

Intuitively, many investors would expect such a big change in rate expectations to weigh heavily on markets, both equities and bonds. In that sense, equity performance was surprising during the first quarter, as the upward trend from 2023 continued. Predictably, bonds suffered as rates rose, but below investment grade sectors were profitable. To be fair, though, it should be noted that equities have endured a difficult start to this month, down 4.6% through April 22 as the higher for longer narrative has gained momentum.¹

Going forward, what should we watch for from asset classes as we venture into a market environment that looks much different than what we were expecting only three months ago?

2024 Market Preview Video

This video is a recording of a live webinar held January 25 by Marquette’s research team analyzing 2023 across the economy and various asset classes as well as what trends and themes we’ll be monitoring in the year ahead.

Our quarterly Market Insights series examines the primary asset classes we cover for clients including the U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S. and non-U.S. equities, hedge funds, real assets, and private markets, with commentary by our research analysts and directors.

Sign up for research alerts to be invited to future webinars and notified when we publish new videos. If you have any questions, please send us an email.

Great Expectations

After ending 2023 with a steep market rally, 2024 began on a more muted note, with Fed-pivot exuberance giving way to the details of execution. Of the many opportunities and risks facing markets this year, one of the most scrutinized will likely be how the Fed’s interest rate cuts compare to market expectations.

This newsletter analyzes current expectations for interest rate movements this year and potential scenarios that could influence the Fed’s policy decisions.

Defined Contribution Plan Legislative Update – 1Q 2024

This legislative update covers proposed regulation by the Department of Labor defining “investment fiduciary,” outlines SECURE Act 2.0’s optional provision regarding student loan repayments, analyzes an increasing trend of private real estate investments within defined contribution plans, summarizes new guidance from CFA Institute defining responsible investment terminology, and reviews 2024 contribution limits from the IRS.

We’re Not So Different, High Yield Bonds and Leveraged Loans

Late last year we authored an article detailing the growing differences between the high yield and leveraged loan markets, particularly the overall quality in the high yield market versus that of leveraged loans. Today, some of those most pronounced differences appear to be abating, which should translate to a more convergent outlook for the two markets as it relates to security, structure, recovery, covenants, and ultimately, performance. With the Fed poised to begin cutting rates in 2024, we felt it was important to address these emerging trends before the start of the new year.

Matt Nowak Speaking at Pensions and Investments Retirement Income Conference 6/18

On Tuesday, June 18, Matt Nowak, AIF® will be speaking at Pensions and Investments’ (P&I) Retirement Income Conference in Chicago: Solutions for the Decumulation Phase.

Matt will be joining a panel entitled, “Customizing Engagement in order to Boost Retirement Readiness,” described as follows: The more we know about the unique positions and objectives of individuals in retirement, the better we can help them maximize their retirement readiness. As plan sponsors manage a multi-generational employee base, they are getting even more granular in tackling the different circumstances and projected outcomes for individuals within each generation. Engagement and communication efforts – from data gathering and evaluation to implementation – are much more targeted for different cohorts. Our panel will discuss ways to identify target groups, personalization, and ways to establish a framework for evaluating retirement income preferences.

  • Assessing participant data to help maximize engagement efforts.
  • Peering into Behavioral Data: Solutions for different cohorts and stages
  • Leading communication techniques, including the use of gen AI to connect with historically low-engagement participants.

P&I’s Retirement Income Conference will bring together plan sponsors and leading industry providers to examine the range of solutions and services that DC plans are currently offering participants in the decumulation phase as well as highlight what’s coming next. For more information, please visit the conference website.

3Q 2023 Market Insights Video

This video is a recording of a live webinar held on October 26 by Marquette’s research team, featuring in-depth analysis of the third quarter and themes we’ll be monitoring for the remainder of the year.

Our Market Insights series examines the primary asset classes we cover for clients including the U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S. and non-U.S. equities, hedge funds, real estate, infrastructure, private equity, and private credit, with presentations by our research analysts and directors.

Sign up for research alerts to be invited to future webinars and notified when we publish new videos. 
For more information, questions, or feedback, please send us an email.