Mike Piotrowski Speaking at 2021 IPPFA Illinois Pension Conference 5/7

On Friday, May 7th, Mike Piotrowski, CAIA will be speaking at the 2021 Illinois Public Pension Fund Association’s annual conference, being held as a hybrid virtual and onsite event in Lincolnshire, Illinois.

Mike will be joining a panel entitled, “What Do We Do Now? Post-Consolidation Responsibilities of Pension Fund Trustees,” with several professionals from other third parties working with the Illinois Firefighters’ Pension Investment Fund in consolidating, managing, and investing the assets of the 296 suburban and downstate firefighter pension funds. The IPPFA Illinois Pension Conference is dedicated to providing quality education for pension fund trustees. For more information, please visit the event webpage.

Defined Contribution Plan Legislative Update – 2Q 2021

This legislative update covers the Secure Act 2.0, provides an update on the Department of Labor’s enforcement of its final rules on ESG investments and proxy voting by employee benefit plans, reviews best practices for investment committees coming out of the disruptions caused by COVID, and examines growth and integration of Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) as offerings in defined contribution plans.

Read > 2Q 2021 DC Legislative Update

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

The SPAC Explained

The SPAC once again rose to prominence in 2020 and momentum has continued to build this year. By mid-March 2021, the number of SPACs raised had already eclipsed the total raised in 2020. SPACs, special-purpose acquisition companies, are shell companies set up to raise money to acquire another, existing company. SPAC vehicles have been around for decades but have recently risen in popularity as experienced investors and management teams have chosen this route to decrease the risks associated with a traditional initial public offering (IPO).

In this newsletter, we explain how SPACs work and are structured, typical attributes of SPAC sponsors, who benefits from the SPAC structure, why SPACs have seen such exponential growth recently, and how private equity interacts with and influences the SPAC industry.

Read > The SPAC Explained

For more Marquette coverage on SPACs, reference our recent research, What’s Next for SPACs? and The Year of SPACs.

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

One Year Later, What’s Next?

Welcome to our inaugural quarterly client newsletter! As a way of introduction, I am Greg Leonberger, Director of Research here at Marquette. I have had the privilege of meeting many of you over the years, and for those that I have not worked with previously, please accept this virtual introduction; my hope is to meet many more of you in person once in-person meetings resume. As I embark on this newsletter series, the goal each quarter is relatively simple: provide you with our views on capital markets, the economy, emerging risks as well as opportunities, and hopefully stitch in a few anecdotes to make for a more engaging connection with our readers.

Highlights from this edition:

  • One year anniversary of the equity market trough in 2020
  • COVID-19: lingering uncertainty, vaccine progress, economic recovery
  • Equities update: value and small-cap outperformance, valuations, TINA
  • Fixed income: reflation trade and interest rates, spreads
  • Alternatives: opportunities in real estate, hedge funds, and private markets
  • Inflation worries: money supply and commodity prices

Read > One Year Later, What’s Next?

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Q1 2021 Market Insights Video

This video features an in-depth analysis of the first quarter’s performance by Marquette’s research analysts and directors, reviewing general themes from the quarter and risks and opportunities to monitor in the coming months.

Our Market Insights series examines the primary asset classes we cover for clients including the U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S. and non-U.S. equities, hedge funds, real estate, infrastructure, private equity, and private credit, with presentations by our research analysts and directors.

Sign up for research alerts to be notified when we publish new videos here.
For more information, questions, or feedback, please send us an email.

Signs of a Market Bottom: One Year Later

This month marked the somber one-year anniversary of the World Health Organization declaring COVID-19 a global pandemic. In addition to the immeasurable human suffering the disease has caused, the toll on both the financial markets and broader economy has also proven historic in magnitude. After the unprecedented market volatility in March 2020, two questions on many investors’ minds were if a market bottom had been reached and if a recession was underway. The S&P 500 hit an all-time high on February 19th, 2020, and subsequently experienced a fast and furious COVID-induced sell-off resulting in its March 23rd bear market trough. Although at that time, investors could not be certain this was the bottom as economic uncertainty remained high while the pandemic was still in its early stages. To help reason through the two questions noted above, we wrote “Signs of a Market Bottom?” which analyzed four broad categories in an attempt to identify markers of a trough: Technical Data, Valuation Data, Economic Indicators, and COVID-19 Data. This information was examined in the context of bear markets that coincided with recessions, which is an important distinction because one can exist without the other. Our analysis indicated that all but valuation data were useful in identifying a market trough.

Given that it has been over a year since the rapid peak–trough-bull market start, the purpose of this paper is to revisit the four aforementioned categories to see which, in hindsight, were relevant in identifying the 2020 market bottom.

Read > Signs of a Market Bottom: One Year Later

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Retirement Basics Video Series

This video series is intended for plan sponsors and fiduciaries and covers a variety of topics related to creating and managing effective defined contribution investment programs. Co-presented by members of our consulting and research teams, these videos present the basics of retirement plans for trustees and investment staff in an educational format meant to provide guidance and insights on best practices and trends in the industry.

The series includes:

  • Fiduciary Checklist, an overview of the roles and responsibilities of fiduciaries including planning, oversight, communication, and documentation;
  • Defined Contribution Topics & Trends, industry trends and recent developments and guidance from the Department of Labor;
  • Investment Lineup Best Practices, considerations and guidance for selecting investment lineup offerings for retirement plans;
  • Target Date Funds, a deep dive into TDFs, from structure and glidepaths to why target date funds have become so popular; and
  • Stable Value Funds, an overview of stable value, exploring structure, important considerations, and recent litigation.

View each episode in the player below — use the upper-right list icon to access a specific presentation.

For more information, questions, or feedback, please send us an email.

One Year Ago, Would Anyone Have Predicted This?

What a year it has been. Officially one year after the equity market’s bottom on March 23rd, 2020, all major indices in the chart above have at least recovered back to ending 2019 levels. The groups that were hit the hardest have also rebounded the strongest, with returns over the last year exceeding 100% for some. Small-cap equities stand out, especially in the U.S. — up 121% over the last year and up 33% over the almost 15-month period since 2019. U.S. mid-cap equities are up 101% over the last year, up 25% over the full period, and U.S. large-cap equities are up 83% over the last year for a 26% return over the full period. Small-cap stocks have also outperformed internationally — the MSCI EAFE Small Cap Index is up 91% over the last year and 18% since 2019, while the MSCI EAFE Index is up 67% over the last year and 12% for the full period. Emerging markets, some of the hardest hit by the crisis last year, have more than recovered, up 78% over the last year for a 22% return since 2019. Fixed income returns have been more muted. Investment grade bonds stayed positive in early 2020 as equity markets fell precipitously and are up another 3% since. High yield bonds, bank loans, and emerging market debt were hit harder but still held up better than equities. Each group has recovered those losses but remains in positive single-digit territory over the full period.

From here, we expect returns will likely moderate. As the vaccine roll-out continues we expect further economic re-openings and renewed growth across the globe, but it seems highly unlikely capital markets returns can continue at this pace beyond the initial recovery.

Print PDF > One Year Ago, Would Anyone Have Predicted This?

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Commodities: Cycle or Cyclical?

A commodities supercycle is generally defined as a sustained period of broad-based above-trend movement. In the first quarter of 2020, almost a decade of commodities price weakness was capped off with a more than 20% drop, and since then, prices have rebounded more than 40% to levels last seen in 2018, inspiring headlines debating whether this is the start of the next supercycle. Proponents argue reopening demand, a potential uptick in global growth and inflation, and a weaker U.S. dollar, among other factors, point to yes. Skeptics contend that an initial demand normalization complicated by temporary supply disruptions does not a supercycle make, at least yet. Commodity price movements can be especially volatile given lumpy physical market characteristics. Oil prices moving into sharply negative territory last April demonstrate exactly that. Whether this latest move is cyclical and temporary or structural and sustainable is still to be determined.

In this newsletter, we explore a few of the key factors that could support or suppress a sustained commodities bull market.

Read > Commodities: Cycle or Cyclical?

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Kweku Obed Speaking at DAMI Investment Consultant Survey Webinar 1/26

On Tuesday, January 26th, Kweku Obed, CFA, CAIA will be speaking as part of the Diverse Asset Managers Initiative’s (DAMI) webinar covering their 3rd annual Investment Consultant Survey, released in December 2020.

Kweku will be joining several other panelists from various investment consulting firms to review the survey, discuss the role of investment consultants in the asset management industry, and highlight movement in the field over the past year. The Diverse Asset Managers Initiative seeks to build a vibrant, coordinated effort to change the culture of the financial services industry as it relates to asset managers and to increase the absolute number of, and assets under management by, diverse-owned asset management firms.

For more information on DAMI and the survey, please visit the DAMI website.