Greg Leonberger Speaking at Institutional Investor 2023 Roundtable for Consultants & Institutional Investors 10/5

On Thursday, October 5, Greg Leonberger, FSA, EA, MAAA, FCA will be speaking at Institutional Investor’s 2023 Roundtable for Consultants & Institutional Investors in Chicago.

Greg will be speaking as part of the “Chair’s Breakfast (Allocators Only): Heads of Research & Investment” session opening the day: During this discussion, allocators will have the opportunity to gain insights and share best practices with their peers, as well as inquire about the challenges that are keeping you up at night.

The annual Roundtable for Consultants & Institutional Investors brings together top investors to share insights on macro and portfolio considerations. For more information, please visit the event webpage.

Marquette Speaking at AIMSE 2023 Fall Conference 10/2

On Monday, October 2, Marquette will be speaking at the Association of Investment Management Sales Executives’ (AIMSE) 2023 Fall Conference in New York City.

Brett Graffy, CAIA, will be joining a panel on the current and future state of investment consulting, discussing how the industry has changed and where it is headed with fellow investment professionals.

The AIMSE seeks to provide an educational forum for those employed in the investment management sales and marketing services profession worldwide. For more information, please visit the event webpage.

1Q 2023 Market Insights Video

This video is a recording of a live webinar held April 20 by Marquette’s research team, featuring in-depth analysis of the first quarter of 2023 and themes we’ll be monitoring in the coming months.

Our Market Insights series examines the primary asset classes we cover for clients including the U.S. economy, fixed income, U.S. and non-U.S. equities, hedge funds, real estate, infrastructure, private equity, and private credit, with presentations by our research analysts and directors.

Sign up for research alerts to be invited to future webinars and notified when we publish new videos.
For more information, questions, or feedback, please send us an email.

David Hernandez Speaking at Illinois Treasurer’s 2023 Diversity in Investments Forum 9/21

On Thursday, September 21, David Hernandez, CFA will be speaking at the 2023 Diversity in Investments Forum hosted by Illinois State Treasurer Michael W. Frerichs in Chicago.

David will be moderating a panel entitled, “Business Diversity Across the Spectrum of Capital Raising and Financing” as well as leading a tabletop discussion.

The Diversity in Investments Forum brings together Treasurer Frerichs’  team of internal portfolio managers and firms and organizations across the financial services sector to ignite connectivity with minority, woman, veteran, and disabled-owned (“MWVD)” investment firms, depository institutions, and other financial service providers.

Here to Stay? Fixed Income Opportunities Persist Despite First Quarter Volatility

Going into 2023, one of the primary headlines was the return of “income” to the fixed income asset class. Largely as a result of Fed policy in 2022, yields increased significantly over the course of the year, thus finally offering meaningful income to bond investors. At long last, fixed income could provide all three of its staples to portfolios: diversification, liquidity, AND income. With the Federal Reserve committed to further hikes during the first half of the year, expectations were that the opportunity set would last well into the year.

However, bank failures and the associated fear of contagion have been known to not only fuel volatility in equity and credit markets but send investors to the safety of Treasuries. This dynamic naturally drives prices higher and yields lower as investors look to insulate their portfolios from large drawdowns. That said, the Silicon Valley Bank shutdown coupled with other nervousness around regional banks and then the eventual absorption of Credit Suisse by UBS has not had a significant impact on the outlook for fixed income as of quarter end. After trading inside of 2% since 2020, the yield on the Bloomberg aggregate index closed the first quarter at 4.40%, slightly lower than the December 31, 2022 figure of 4.68% but well ahead of its near-zero value in the years leading up to 2022.

This newsletter analyzes recent market dynamics and the current environment and outlook for fixed income.

Read > Here to Stay? Fixed Income Opportunities Persist Despite First Quarter Volatility

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Linsey Schoemehl Payne Speaking at LinkBridge Investors Midwest Annual Meeting 9/21

On Thursday, September 21, Linsey Schoemehl Payne will be speaking at the Midwest Investors Annual Meeting hosted by LinkBridge Investors in Chicago.

Linsey will be joining a panel session entitled, “Institutional Investors Roundtable Discussion,” with several investment professionals, addressing the following question: What type of investment structure are institutional investors looking for and where is the greatest potential for growth?

The Midwest Investors Annual Meeting gathers the world’s leading managers along with institutional and private wealth investors from Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin to learn from and alongside industry thought leaders. For more information, visit the LinkBridge Investors website.

Update on Silicon Valley Bank and the Impact on Markets

Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), the 16th largest bank in the U.S. by assets as of year-end 2022, was shuttered by regulators last Friday, March 10. This is the country’s first material bank insolvency since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the second-largest bank failure in U.S. history, behind only the government takeover of Washington Mutual in 2008. The bank’s collapse came as a surprise to markets — both S&P and Moody’s had an investment-grade rating (BBB) on the borrower and equity markets showed few signs of foreseen stress. Additionally, earlier last week, smaller Silvergate Bank announced it would voluntarily liquidate, and over the weekend, Signature Bank was seized by New York regulators, marking the U.S.’s third-largest bank failure.

Over the weekend, the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and FDIC came together to shore up confidence in the U.S. banking system. Via joint statement, the consortium announced that all depositors at SVB and Signature Bank would be made whole, easing concerns that deposits over the FDIC-insured limit of $250,000 would be at risk, and introduced a new $25 billion bank funding program, the Bank Term Funding Program, to make additional funds available to banks at more favorable terms, to hopefully prevent a repeat of the events that led to SVB’s demise. Both initiatives will come at no cost to the U.S. taxpayer. While the measures should help corporations, consumers, and markets breathe a sigh of relief — there was fear over the weekend that SVB clients would not be able to pay employees, which could lead to a downward economic spiral — concerns about possible systemic risk and broader implications for the economy remain.

This newsletter summarizes the impact of SVB’s failure on the markets, including potential for contagion, SVB exposure across asset classes, and expectations regarding Fed tightening from here.

Read > Update on Silicon Valley Bank and the Impact on Markets

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Nat Kellogg Speaking at ALTSCHI 2023 Forum 7/17

On Monday, July 17, Nat Kellogg, CFA will be speaking at ALTSCHI,  jointly hosted by the CFA Society Chicago, CAIA Association, and Markets Group July 16–18.

Nat will be moderating a panel entitled, “Increased Appetite for Secondaries Markets,” described as follows: Private equity investors are increasingly turning to the secondary market to find value opportunities while LPs work to boost liquidity. Exposures are being weighed and sold at heavy discounts in sectors such as hospitality, consumer-related, energy, and transportation. These low asset prices also present valuable opportunities for LPs to co-invest alongside managers at more favorable stages of the investment cycle. How can investors take advantage of secondaries to boost returns and what advantages do they provide over individual manager selection?

ALTSCHI brings together leadership from the region’s institutional investor, wealth management, and alternative asset manager community to share views on alternatives as we continue to navigate these volatile times. For more information, please visit the event webpage.

The 60/40 Portfolio Revisited: Back from the Dead?

In response to an inquiry concerning rumors of his demise in 1897, American writer and satirist Mark Twain quipped, “The report of my death was an exaggeration.” This quote may also apply in the case of the 60/40 portfolio and a white paper published by Marquette Associates in late 2021. The piece, entitled, “Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead Forever?” examined the challenges faced by the popular model consisting of a 60% allocation to diversified equities and a 40% allocation to a broad basket of fixed income securities. These challenges included elevated equity valuations and the prospects of rising interest rates and slowing economic growth. Indeed, both stocks and bonds struggled mightily last year due to these and other headwinds, with 2022 one of the worst on record for the 60/40 portfolio. That said, and amid a strong start to 2023, there are reasons for optimism when it comes to the viability of the model to again generate attractive risk-adjusted performance.

This white paper provides historical context for the 60/40 portfolio, details its current outlook, and outlines ways in which investors can augment the model to achieve desired return targets.

Read > The 60/40 Portfolio Revisited: Back from the Dead?

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.

Is the Sky Falling? An Early Analysis of the 2023 Debt Ceiling Crisis

The U.S. debt ceiling was initially established in 1917 as a limit on how much the federal government was allowed to borrow. At the time, the ceiling was enacted to simplify the borrowing process, but more recently, it has become a political tool that can threaten the stability of our economy and financial markets. Modifying the debt ceiling began as a routine act of Congress — there have been more than 100 changes to the debt limit since the end of World War II, with “clean” increases enacted under both Democratic and Republican leadership. Since 1980, however, increases to the debt ceiling have been increasingly intertwined with partisan spending and deficit reduction initiatives, with the eleventh-hour agreement in 2011 the most extreme example to date of how far parties are willing to go.

This newsletter places the 2023 debt ceiling crisis into historical context, analyzing what outcomes are likely from here and potential impacts on the government, markets, businesses, and consumers.

Read > Is the Sky Falling? An Early Analysis of the 2023 Debt Ceiling Crisis

 

The opinions expressed herein are those of Marquette Associates, Inc. (“Marquette”), and are subject to change without notice. This material is not financial advice or an offer to purchase or sell any product. Marquette reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies and techniques based on changing market dynamics or client needs.